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EQS-News News vom 07.03.2017

Edison issues update on Hutchison China Meditech (HCM)

EQS-News: Edison Investment Research Limited / Key word(s): Research Update/Final Results

07-March-2017 / 12:48 GMT/BST


London, UK, 07 March 2017

Edison issues ADR update on Hutchison China Meditech (HCM)

Hutchison (HCM) and partner Lilly announced positive, top-line pivotal phase III trial results for fruquintinib in 3rd line colorectal cancer. The China based FRESCO study evaluating 416 patients who had failed at least two prior chemotherapies in CRC demonstrated a clinically meaningful and statistically significant increase in both overall survival and progression-free survival compared to placebo. Consequently, HCM is preparing for a China NDA submission mid-2017; this represents the first China based oncology innovation to succeed at Phase III. We expect the full data to be presented at the 53rd American Society of Clinical Oncology Meeting (ASCO) 2 to 6 June 2017. Our valuation remains unchanged at $2.4bn.

Our SOTP valuation remains unchanged at $2.4bn ($20.1/ADS). IP is valued at $1,789m and placing the commercial platform's (CP) 2016e share of net profit on a 22.5x rating gives $657m ($5.4/ADS). Adding net cash at end June 2016 and netting out unallocated costs results in a value of $2.4bn. Approval(s), clinical data and/or deals should increase our risk-adjusted valuation.

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