London, UK, 6 August 2018

Edison issues outlook on Ultra Electronics (ULE)

The overall picture of improving global defence spending supports a return to organic growth for UItra. This is already reflected in the uplift seen in the order book at the H118 report. The company is well positioned to leverage the growth in naval budgets and increased demand for military aircraft around the world. Ultra also has a significant role to play in commercial aerospace, energy and cyber markets. Our fair value is 1,918p.

We calculate our estimated fair value of the company as a simple average of the discounted cash flow and sum-of-the-parts measures, currently 1,918p (previously 1,811p). Our valuations reflect the lower share count due to the £134m share buyback. The increase largely reflects improved global defence sector ratings on the back of increasing defence spend. At our fair value, Ultra's shares would be trading on an FY19 P/E of 16.7x.

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